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Qual 282018 EMCC
Red251
3082133.2
2530111.5
4277125.7
Blue107
253290.8
3100132.8
5299132.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291278150200250350251107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#19
133.21.0
134.9133.9
Auto17.4
Teleop92.2
End24.9
red by 0.4
3100
#23
132.81.7
136.7135.0
Auto17.6
Teleop101.5
End12.3
Second
4277
#10
125.70.4
124.6125.0
Auto14.4
Teleop96.4
End15.7
blue by 6.7
5299
#15
132.41.1
131.3132.4
Auto15.6
Teleop100.6
End18.4
Third
2530
#16
111.51.4
108.7110.0
Auto15.2
Teleop84.2
End14.7
red by 20.7
2532
#27
90.81.5
94.392.8
Auto15.0
Teleop78.5
End-6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed