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Red165
2797123.3
5753106.9
1557120.6
Blue306
2425109.4
4562104.4
6473102.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972360100200400500165306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2797
#20
123.316.0
74.690.6
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End22.8
red by 13.9
2425
#34
109.417.3
63.080.3
Auto13.0
Teleop85.1
End12.8
Second
1557
#19
120.615.4
80.495.7
Auto14.2
Teleop95.7
End8.8
red by 16.1
4562
#36
104.418.1
56.274.3
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End0.5
Third
5753
#54
106.917.0
66.082.9
Auto13.6
Teleop86.0
End6.5
red by 4.1
6473
#38
102.818.0
57.175.1
Auto12.7
Teleop88.6
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed