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Qual 22018 Orlando Regional
Red304
6145100.7
180157.6
744151.1
Blue215
5842143.9
456157.6
572294.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302288200250350400304215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#16
157.612.8
104.2→117.0
Auto18.1
Teleop124.3
End13.7
blue by 0.1
456
#13
157.613.0
102.3→115.3
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End20.9
Second
744
#17
151.113.3
99.1→112.5
Auto21.5
Teleop114.6
End14.5
red by 7.2
5842
#21
143.914.0
92.5→106.6
Auto16.5
Teleop109.8
End15.6
Third
6145
#47
100.717.5
61.6→79.1
Auto13.6
Teleop80.2
End3.9
red by 6.2
5722
#62DQ
94.517.7
59.6→77.3
Auto14.0
Teleop79.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed