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Qual 112018 Orlando Regional
Red116
402498.1
801126.2
180157.6
Blue345
59162.0
3556136.9
233142.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793150100200400500600116345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#16
157.69.0
117.0→126.0
Auto18.1
Teleop124.3
End13.7
blue by 4.4
59
#1
162.015.4
79.9→95.3
Auto19.3
Teleop121.0
End23.0
Second
801
#12
126.215.0
83.4→98.4
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End12.3
blue by 16.5
233
#15
142.79.6
117.4→126.9
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
Third
4024
#40
98.117.4
62.4→79.8
Auto12.4
Teleop74.7
End11.3
blue by 38.8
3556
#18
136.914.1
91.9→106.0
Auto18.3
Teleop105.5
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed