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Qual 102018 Orlando Regional
Red420
4592139.8
1902141.3
5276116.6
Blue202
386158.1
6184107.5
6322100.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297275100200400500420202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#5
141.314.9
84.2→99.1
Auto25.7
Teleop101.2
End14.9
blue by 16.8
386
#8
158.112.9
103.1→116.0
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End27.2
Second
4592
#7
139.813.9
93.7→107.6
Auto17.8
Teleop105.1
End15.1
red by 32.2
6184
#53
107.517.3
63.1→80.4
Auto13.6
Teleop82.7
End9.6
Third
5276
#46
116.616.5
69.7→86.2
Auto16.0
Teleop90.9
End10.2
red by 16.1
6322
#35
100.517.1
64.9→82.0
Auto14.5
Teleop77.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned