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Qual 92018 Orlando Regional
Red181
1592122.0
1523138.4
7193101.6
Blue216
5196105.3
1744123.0
3627107.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152520100200400500181216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#10
138.413.5
97.9→111.4
Auto20.6
Teleop102.3
End18.2
red by 15.5
1744
#25
123.015.4
79.9→95.3
Auto16.7
Teleop96.0
End15.0
Second
1592
#27
122.013.2
100.7→113.8
Auto21.6
Teleop91.0
End7.1
red by 15.0
3627
#37
107.016.7
68.1→84.8
Auto14.9
Teleop85.9
End2.2
Third
7193
#33
101.637.6
115.3→77.7
Auto15.7
Teleop73.8
End16.8
blue by 3.8
5196
#31
105.317.2
63.7→80.9
Auto13.9
Teleop84.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed