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Qual 82018 Orlando Regional
Red161
4471113.7
10894.1
4118119.2
Blue158
945122.6
6404121.1
6722102.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2952660100200400500161158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#32
119.215.3
80.6→95.9
Auto14.9
Teleop97.9
End6.4
blue by 3.4
945
#52
122.615.9
75.2→91.1
Auto15.7
Teleop94.5
End13.0
Second
4471
#42
113.715.9
75.3→91.2
Auto13.1
Teleop93.4
End6.1
blue by 7.5
6404
#44
121.115.7
77.3→93.0
Auto16.2
Teleop92.5
End14.6
Third
108
#56
94.115.1
82.6→97.7
Auto12.8
Teleop80.5
End-1.1
blue by 8.0
6722
#58
102.217.2
63.9→81.1
Auto11.5
Teleop85.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed