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Qual 72018 Orlando Regional
Red400
86145.1
21142.4
3242137.7
Blue128
555786.2
4769122.0
3653135.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892750100200400500400128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#6
145.114.5
88.3→102.8
Auto22.2
Teleop108.0
End13.6
red by 9.6
3653
#43
135.514.1
91.7→105.8
Auto16.7
Teleop104.7
End18.7
Second
21
#4
142.415.6
78.6→94.1
Auto18.8
Teleop102.5
End22.2
red by 20.4
4769
#24
122.016.1
73.8→89.9
Auto15.0
Teleop92.4
End15.3
Third
3242
#9
137.716.6
68.8→85.4
Auto15.9
Teleop104.7
End20.3
red by 51.5
5557
#63
86.217.6
60.3→77.9
Auto13.3
Teleop70.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed