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Red322
1065156.1
685098.5
2797123.3
Blue130
6184107.5
3627107.0
7194103.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275262150200250300350400322130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.16.9
111.1118.0
Auto20.3
Teleop117.8
End20.3
red by 48.6
6184
#53
107.512.3
80.492.7
Auto13.6
Teleop82.7
End9.6
Second
2797
#20
123.38.5
90.699.1
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End22.8
red by 16.3
3627
#37
107.010.1
84.894.9
Auto14.9
Teleop85.9
End2.2
Third
6850
#48
98.58.7
77.786.4
Auto15.6
Teleop75.9
End10.0
blue by 5.1
7194
#59
103.610.8
77.788.5
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed