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Qual 162018 Orlando Regional
Red435
456157.6
1421142.0
4065113.7
Blue130
1557120.6
79132.2
7193101.6
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122470100200400500600435130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#13
157.67.2
115.3→122.5
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End20.9
red by 25.5
79
#28
132.27.3
106.0→113.3
Auto14.3
Teleop95.3
End20.6
Second
1421
#22
142.010.1
100.6→110.6
Auto16.3
Teleop106.2
End19.0
red by 21.4
1557
#19
120.68.1
95.7→103.8
Auto14.2
Teleop95.7
End8.8
Third
4065
#61
113.78.3
89.1→97.4
Auto13.8
Teleop88.7
End9.8
red by 12.1
7193
#33
101.69.4
77.7→87.1
Auto15.7
Teleop73.8
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed