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Qual 172018 Orlando Regional
Red300
6404121.1
5276116.6
801126.2
Blue237
4622103.5
3653135.5
1872116.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272275100150200250300350400450300237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#12
126.25.9
98.4→104.3
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End12.3
blue by 9.3
3653
#43
135.56.5
105.8→112.2
Auto16.7
Teleop104.7
End18.7
Second
6404
#44
121.18.9
93.0→101.9
Auto16.2
Teleop92.5
End14.6
red by 5.1
1872
#55
116.012.6
92.4→105.1
Auto15.4
Teleop93.7
End2.3
Third
5276
#46
116.613.6
86.2→99.8
Auto16.0
Teleop90.9
End10.2
red by 13.1
4622
#49
103.58.1
84.8→92.8
Auto11.8
Teleop86.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed