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Red206
6473102.8
3164119.2
4065113.7
Blue430
6404121.1
1065156.1
744151.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403200100200400500600206430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3164
#51
119.210.0
87.597.5
Auto13.1
Teleop86.5
End20.6
blue by 36.9
156.16.9
118.0124.8
Auto20.3
Teleop117.8
End20.3
Second
4065
#61
113.78.1
97.4105.5
Auto13.8
Teleop88.7
End9.8
blue by 37.4
744
#17
151.19.4
112.5121.8
Auto21.5
Teleop114.6
End14.5
Third
6473
#38
102.87.9
87.295.1
Auto12.7
Teleop88.6
End-0.6
blue by 18.3
6404
#44
121.15.6
101.9107.5
Auto16.2
Teleop92.5
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed