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Qual 232018 Orlando Regional
Red243
1557120.6
4118119.2
4622103.5
Blue100
5412100.7
555786.2
4471113.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268242100200300400500243100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1557
#19
120.64.0
103.8→107.7
Auto14.2
Teleop95.7
End8.8
red by 6.9
4471
#42
113.75.7
100.0→105.6
Auto13.1
Teleop93.4
End6.1
Second
4118
#32
119.24.4
104.3→108.7
Auto14.9
Teleop97.9
End6.4
red by 18.4
5412
#57Sur
100.77.3
90.8→98.1
Auto14.9
Teleop77.9
End6.6
Third
4622
#49Sur
103.54.9
92.8→97.7
Auto11.8
Teleop86.7
End6.9
red by 17.3
5557
#63
86.23.2
86.7→89.9
Auto13.3
Teleop70.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed