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Qual 242018 Orlando Regional
Red326
456157.6
5196105.3
674398.9
Blue122
10894.1
164993.9
5276116.6
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862370100200400500600326122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#13Sur
157.67.4
122.5→130.0
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End20.9
red by 41.0
5276
#46
116.68.6
99.8→108.5
Auto16.0
Teleop90.9
End10.2
Second
5196
#31
105.35.8
91.4→97.2
Auto13.9
Teleop84.3
End8.1
red by 11.2
108
#56Sur
94.10.6
105.9→106.4
Auto12.8
Teleop80.5
End-1.1
Third
6743
#41
98.96.5
83.0→89.4
Auto13.7
Teleop79.4
End5.8
red by 5.1
1649
#64
93.92.7
92.5→95.1
Auto13.6
Teleop75.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed