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Red205
3556136.9
6404121.1
5145138.4
Blue396
4481147.8
456157.6
5753106.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303281100200400500205396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5145
#14
138.48.6
109.2117.8
Auto14.7
Teleop108.6
End15.1
blue by 19.3
456
#13
157.66.1
130.0136.0
Auto19.5
Teleop117.8
End20.9
Second
3556
#18
136.94.9
122.5127.3
Auto18.3
Teleop105.5
End11.3
blue by 10.9
4481
#26
147.80.3
143.8143.5
Auto21.5
Teleop114.0
End12.8
Third
6404
#44
121.16.4
107.5113.9
Auto16.2
Teleop92.5
End14.6
red by 14.2
5753
#54
106.93.5
95.498.9
Auto13.6
Teleop86.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed