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Qual 362018 Orlando Regional
Red260
5283104.5
744151.1
2916103.0
Blue261
79132.2
5196105.3
21142.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2642960100200400500600260261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#17
151.16.9
130.8→137.7
Auto21.5
Teleop114.6
End14.5
red by 8.6
21
#4
142.45.8
119.0→124.8
Auto18.8
Teleop102.5
End22.2
Second
5283
#60
104.53.8
98.8→102.5
Auto14.4
Teleop82.6
End6.8
blue by 27.7
79
#28
132.25.9
116.7→122.6
Auto14.3
Teleop95.3
End20.6
Third
2916
#50
103.01.8
98.1→99.9
Auto14.5
Teleop85.0
End-0.3
blue by 2.3
5196
#31
105.34.9
97.2→102.1
Auto13.9
Teleop84.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed