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Red342
4769122.0
4562104.4
386158.1
Blue167
6145100.7
1872116.0
1592122.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288266100150200350400450342167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#8
158.14.8
130.1134.9
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End27.2
red by 36.1
1592
#27
122.00.5
119.5120.0
Auto21.6
Teleop91.0
End7.1
Second
4769
#24
122.05.5
102.1107.6
Auto15.0
Teleop92.4
End15.3
red by 6.0
1872
#55
116.06.8
113.1119.9
Auto15.4
Teleop93.7
End2.3
Third
4562
#36
104.45.6
96.5102.1
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End0.5
red by 3.7
6145
#47
100.77.1
96.3103.3
Auto13.6
Teleop80.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed