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Red117
5412100.7
1421142.0
5196105.3
Blue443
1251120.1
86145.1
1065156.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259315100200400500117443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#22
142.07.5
127.2134.7
Auto16.3
Teleop106.2
End19.0
blue by 14.2
156.15.3
132.1137.5
Auto20.3
Teleop117.8
End20.3
Second
5196
#31
105.34.2
102.1106.3
Auto13.9
Teleop84.3
End8.1
blue by 39.8
86
#6
145.12.6
128.7131.3
Auto22.2
Teleop108.0
End13.6
Third
5412
#57
100.72.5
101.0103.5
Auto14.9
Teleop77.9
End6.6
blue by 19.4
1251
#29
120.10.8
117.5118.3
Auto15.5
Teleop90.9
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed