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Red399
4592139.8
4769122.0
2797123.3
Blue146
3164119.2
7193101.6
164993.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352090100300400500399146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
139.83.0
123.0126.1
Auto17.8
Teleop105.1
End15.1
red by 20.6
3164
#51
119.25.2
108.6113.9
Auto13.1
Teleop86.5
End20.6
Second
2797
#20
123.30.3
110.7111.0
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End22.8
red by 21.7
7193
#33
101.61.6
96.397.9
Auto15.7
Teleop73.8
End16.8
Third
4769
#24
122.05.6
107.6113.1
Auto15.0
Teleop92.4
End15.3
red by 28.2
1649
#64
93.90.4
95.095.4
Auto13.6
Teleop75.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed