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Qual 512018 Orlando Regional
Red328
10894.1
1557120.6
1523138.4
Blue179
801126.2
7194103.6
5283104.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287253100200400328179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#10
138.43.7
124.9→128.7
Auto20.6
Teleop102.3
End18.2
red by 12.3
801
#12
126.26.0
112.7→118.7
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End12.3
Second
1557
#19
120.62.1
110.3→112.5
Auto14.2
Teleop95.7
End8.8
red by 16.1
5283
#60
104.52.4
102.5→104.9
Auto14.4
Teleop82.6
End6.8
Third
108
#56
94.10.1
104.9→104.8
Auto12.8
Teleop80.5
End-1.1
blue by 9.5
7194
#59
103.61.7
98.9→100.6
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed