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Qual 522018 Orlando Regional
Red208
3627107.0
2425109.4
3556136.9
Blue166
3653135.5
4471113.7
79132.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265308100200400500208166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3556
#18
136.93.1
127.3→130.4
Auto18.3
Teleop105.5
End11.3
red by 1.4
3653
#43
135.52.9
117.3→120.2
Auto16.7
Teleop104.7
End18.7
Second
2425
#34
109.42.4
100.5→102.9
Auto13.0
Teleop85.1
End12.8
blue by 22.8
79
#28
132.24.9
122.6→127.5
Auto14.3
Teleop95.3
End20.6
Third
3627
#37
107.02.5
104.3→106.9
Auto14.9
Teleop85.9
End2.2
blue by 6.7
4471
#42
113.73.9
107.3→111.3
Auto13.1
Teleop93.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed