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Quarterfinal 1-22018 South Florida Regional
Red303
180168.5
179202.8
1369132.8
Blue306
1065171.1
7193123.7
1523150.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072750100200500600700303306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
202.80.3
204.2→203.9
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End42.4
red by 31.7
1065
#16
171.10.2
170.6→170.8
Auto19.2
Teleop132.0
End18.5
Second
180
#17
168.50.3
167.2→167.4
Auto20.0
Teleop134.2
End15.5
red by 18.0
1523
#23
150.60.0
150.6→150.6
Auto19.2
Teleop111.9
End19.4
Third
1369
#28
132.80.0
132.7→132.8
Auto18.4
Teleop103.2
End10.5
red by 9.0
7193
#8
123.70.0
123.6→123.7
Auto17.7
Teleop86.0
End18.5