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Red311
180168.5
179202.8
1369132.8
Blue279
5842163.2
5472190.7
108128.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370318100200400500600700311279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
202.80.2
203.4203.2
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End42.4
red by 12.2
190.70.2
190.4190.7
Auto23.3
Teleop148.5
End18.9
Second
180
#17
168.50.2
167.9168.2
Auto20.0
Teleop134.2
End15.5
red by 5.3
5842
#14
163.20.0
163.2163.2
Auto19.3
Teleop125.4
End19.4
Third
1369
#28
132.80.0
132.8132.8
Auto18.4
Teleop103.2
End10.5
red by 4.4
108
#19
128.30.5
127.8128.3
Auto17.8
Teleop105.6
End6.1