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Red394
59174.1
3410134.2
2152133.6
Blue152
1902159.6
1251134.9
1477170.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305346100200400500600394152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#9
174.10.1
174.2174.1
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End17.9
red by 4.0
1477
#34
170.10.5
172.7172.3
Auto19.7
Teleop125.9
End23.8
Second
134.20.8
131.8132.6
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End15.2
blue by 25.4
1902
#18
159.60.2
159.4159.6
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
Third
2152
#31
133.60.3
132.7132.9
Auto21.8
Teleop103.0
End8.9
blue by 1.3
134.90.7
132.4133.1
Auto15.1
Teleop102.0
End20.1