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Red257
1902159.6
1251134.9
1477170.1
Blue318
2383166.6
1744153.9
3164136.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289337100200400500257318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#34
170.10.6
170.6170.1
Auto19.7
Teleop125.9
End23.8
red by 3.5
2383
#20
166.60.1
166.2166.4
Auto20.7
Teleop134.3
End10.0
Second
1902
#18
159.60.0
159.7159.6
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
red by 5.8
153.90.4
152.7153.1
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
Third
134.90.3
134.6134.9
Auto15.1
Teleop102.0
End20.1
blue by 1.0
3164
#15
136.00.4
134.9135.3
Auto16.7
Teleop99.8
End21.1