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Quarterfinal 2-22018 South Florida Regional
Red292
386175.1
744174.5
3932144.5
Blue426
5842163.2
5472190.7
108128.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339357250300400450500292426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#11
175.10.2
174.9→175.1
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End29.0
blue by 15.6
5472
#5
190.70.2
190.0→190.2
Auto23.3
Teleop148.5
End18.9
Second
744
#4
174.50.4
174.1→174.5
Auto22.7
Teleop132.2
End19.9
red by 11.2
5842
#14
163.20.0
163.1→163.1
Auto19.3
Teleop125.4
End19.4
Third
3932
#21
144.50.2
144.3→144.5
Auto17.5
Teleop110.6
End17.4
red by 16.2
108
#19
128.30.6
126.6→127.2
Auto17.8
Teleop105.6
End6.1