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Red160
1902159.6
1251134.9
1477170.1
Blue358
2383166.6
1744153.9
3164136.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299331150200250350400450500160358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#34
170.10.5
171.1170.6
Auto19.7
Teleop125.9
End23.8
red by 3.5
2383
#20
166.60.1
166.1166.2
Auto20.7
Teleop134.3
End10.0
Second
1902
#18
159.60.1
159.6159.7
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
red by 5.8
153.90.4
152.3152.7
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
Third
134.90.5
134.1134.6
Auto15.1
Teleop102.0
End20.1
blue by 1.0
3164
#15
136.00.4
134.6134.9
Auto16.7
Teleop99.8
End21.1