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Red140
1369132.8
744174.5
4471120.0
Blue299
1744153.9
6001129.1
1523150.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310313150200250350400140299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#4
174.50.6
166.6167.2
Auto22.7
Teleop132.2
End19.9
red by 20.6
153.94.7
126.7131.4
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
Second
1369
#28
132.80.5
134.8134.3
Auto18.4
Teleop103.2
End10.5
blue by 17.8
1523
#23
150.61.8
139.9141.7
Auto19.2
Teleop111.9
End19.4
Third
4471
#22
120.01.5
114.5116.0
Auto15.6
Teleop95.1
End9.8
blue by 9.1
6001
#45
129.113.2
83.896.9
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed