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Red255
5773109.1
86147.2
6225134.9
Blue352
5842163.2
801139.3
4118110.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403420100200300400500600255352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#32
147.20.6
144.9144.2
Auto23.3
Teleop105.4
End19.5
blue by 16.0
5842
#14
163.21.6
158.1159.6
Auto19.3
Teleop125.4
End19.4
Second
6225
#44
134.911.9
92.2104.1
Auto18.0
Teleop101.9
End14.7
blue by 4.4
801
#13
139.32.0
126.2128.2
Auto17.7
Teleop104.3
End20.6
Third
5773
#39
109.18.2
78.186.3
Auto16.2
Teleop84.2
End6.9
blue by 1.3
4118
#46
110.40.3
116.3116.0
Auto15.3
Teleop86.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed