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Red366
5472190.7
7216123.0
7231120.0
Blue187
2152133.6
348140.0
6686113.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303275150200250350400450500366187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.70.5
178.9179.4
Auto23.3
Teleop148.5
End18.9
red by 50.7
348
#43
140.00.0
141.6141.6
Auto17.0
Teleop101.8
End21.6
Second
7216
#26
123.014.6
77.792.3
Auto16.5
Teleop98.8
End7.0
blue by 10.6
2152
#31
133.62.6
125.0127.5
Auto21.8
Teleop103.0
End8.9
Third
7231
#25
120.042.2
120.077.7
Auto17.0
Teleop88.7
End17.1
red by 6.1
6686
#30
113.812.0
77.889.8
Auto16.5
Teleop84.4
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed