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Red474
528399.1
179202.8
7193123.7
Blue70
560595.1
3653143.0
721591.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326281010020040050060047470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
202.84.3
178.6182.9
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End42.4
red by 59.8
3653
#36
143.03.4
135.5138.9
Auto16.3
Teleop109.7
End17.2
Second
123.72.0
101.6103.5
Auto17.7
Teleop86.0
End18.5
red by 28.6
5605
#54
95.117.4
62.479.8
Auto14.4
Teleop72.4
End8.6
Third
5283
#47
99.10.6
104.5103.9
Auto14.6
Teleop76.8
End7.8
red by 7.4
7215
#55
91.814.0
91.877.7
Auto10.5
Teleop70.9
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed