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Red130
7194106.3
1477170.1
4592134.4
Blue486
1902159.6
180168.5
59174.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733770100200500600700130486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#34
170.12.4
173.1175.6
Auto19.7
Teleop125.9
End23.8
blue by 4.0
59
#9
174.12.8
162.0164.8
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End17.9
Second
4592
#38
134.40.9
139.8140.7
Auto18.9
Teleop100.5
End15.3
blue by 34.1
180
#17
168.51.2
157.6158.8
Auto20.0
Teleop134.2
End15.5
Third
7194
#50
106.31.3
103.6104.9
Auto16.4
Teleop78.3
End9.5
blue by 53.3
1902
#18
159.62.3
141.3143.5
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed