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Red348
386175.1
6388110.0
3410134.2
Blue174
1369132.8
2797136.9
5949105.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309285100200400500348174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#11
175.11.6
158.1159.6
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End29.0
red by 38.2
2797
#37
136.95.1
123.3128.4
Auto15.6
Teleop100.4
End21.8
Second
134.20.2
112.4112.6
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End15.2
red by 1.5
1369
#28
132.80.1
134.9134.8
Auto18.4
Teleop103.2
End10.5
Third
6388
#42
110.016.3
72.288.4
Auto16.9
Teleop84.7
End6.4
red by 5.0
5949
#41
105.017.4
61.779.2
Auto14.6
Teleop75.5
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed