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Red441
3164136.0
59174.1
3653143.0
Blue307
7107109.8
1902159.6
7231120.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3692400100200300400500600441307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#9
174.13.5
164.8168.3
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End17.9
red by 14.5
1902
#18
159.63.1
143.5146.7
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
Second
3653
#36
143.00.3
138.9138.6
Auto16.3
Teleop109.7
End17.2
red by 23.1
7231
#25
120.013.2
77.791.0
Auto17.0
Teleop88.7
End17.1
Third
3164
#15
136.01.8
120.5122.3
Auto16.7
Teleop99.8
End21.1
red by 26.1
7107
#40
109.89.6
77.787.4
Auto17.5
Teleop88.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed