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Red315
721591.8
4592134.4
5410130.7
Blue384
1065171.1
6468117.6
2797136.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443600100200300400500600700315384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4592
#38
134.41.7
140.7139.0
Auto18.9
Teleop100.5
End15.3
blue by 36.7
1065
#16
171.13.3
158.7162.1
Auto19.2
Teleop132.0
End18.5
Second
5410
#24
130.70.6
120.6121.2
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End19.1
blue by 6.2
2797
#37
136.92.5
128.4130.9
Auto15.6
Teleop100.4
End21.8
Third
7215
#55
91.88.5
77.786.3
Auto10.5
Teleop70.9
End9.7
blue by 25.9
6468
#48
117.69.5
78.788.2
Auto15.6
Teleop94.6
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed