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Red464
7193123.7
4533183.0
1876174.2
Blue236
2383166.6
5949105.0
6388110.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356286100200400500464236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.02.6
163.7166.3
Auto27.0
Teleop131.8
End23.4
red by 16.4
2383
#20
166.60.8
164.3163.5
Auto20.7
Teleop134.3
End10.0
Second
1876
#10
174.20.2
164.3164.1
Auto19.1
Teleop125.8
End31.4
red by 64.2
6388
#42
110.012.9
88.4101.4
Auto16.9
Teleop84.7
End6.4
Third
123.73.2
103.5106.8
Auto17.7
Teleop86.0
End18.5
red by 18.8
5949
#41
105.010.4
79.289.6
Auto14.6
Teleop75.5
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed