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Red450
5949105.0
7193123.7
2152133.6
Blue276
7194106.3
108128.3
5773109.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122450100200400500600450276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2152
#31
133.61.0
127.5128.6
Auto21.8
Teleop103.0
End8.9
red by 5.3
108
#19
128.32.3
108.3110.6
Auto17.8
Teleop105.6
End6.1
Second
123.73.0
106.8109.8
Auto17.7
Teleop86.0
End18.5
red by 14.6
5773
#39
109.16.5
86.392.8
Auto16.2
Teleop84.2
End6.9
Third
5949
#41
105.06.5
89.696.1
Auto14.6
Teleop75.5
End17.8
blue by 1.3
7194
#50
106.31.1
103.6104.7
Auto16.4
Teleop78.3
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed