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Red462
386175.1
5472190.7
3653143.0
Blue176
6388110.0
801139.3
4592134.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4212390100200300500600462176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.71.0
179.4180.4
Auto23.3
Teleop148.5
End18.9
red by 51.4
801
#13
139.31.7
128.2129.9
Auto17.7
Teleop104.3
End20.6
Second
386
#11
175.13.8
162.2165.9
Auto21.4
Teleop124.7
End29.0
red by 40.7
4592
#38
134.40.4
139.0138.6
Auto18.9
Teleop100.5
End15.3
Third
3653
#36
143.00.9
138.6139.5
Auto16.3
Teleop109.7
End17.2
red by 33.0
6388
#42
110.08.2
101.4109.5
Auto16.9
Teleop84.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed