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Red391
179202.8
1744153.9
744174.5
Blue201
1065171.1
7231120.0
180168.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022880100200500600700391201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
202.84.1
188.1192.2
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End42.4
red by 31.7
1065
#16
171.12.7
162.1164.7
Auto19.2
Teleop132.0
End18.5
Second
744
#4
174.50.4
167.2166.8
Auto22.7
Teleop132.2
End19.9
red by 5.9
180
#17
168.52.3
161.3163.7
Auto20.0
Teleop134.2
End15.5
Third
153.92.7
131.4134.0
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
red by 33.9
7231
#25
120.09.1
91.0100.1
Auto17.0
Teleop88.7
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed