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Red320
1902159.6
6686113.8
3932144.5
Blue142
560595.1
5773109.1
1876174.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307270100150200250350400450500320142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#18
159.62.3
146.7149.0
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
blue by 14.5
1876
#10
174.20.7
164.1164.8
Auto19.1
Teleop125.8
End31.4
Second
3932
#21
144.50.8
140.3139.6
Auto17.5
Teleop110.6
End17.4
red by 35.3
5773
#39
109.15.9
92.898.7
Auto16.2
Teleop84.2
End6.9
Third
6686
#30
113.86.6
89.896.4
Auto16.5
Teleop84.4
End14.1
red by 18.7
5605
#54
95.10.0
92.192.1
Auto14.4
Teleop72.4
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed