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Red238
456292.8
4533183.0
348140.0
Blue418
1744153.9
1902159.6
3242155.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413860100200300500600700238418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.02.3
171.6174.0
Auto27.0
Teleop131.8
End23.4
red by 23.4
1902
#18
159.62.9
151.8154.7
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
Second
348
#43
140.01.0
139.7138.7
Auto17.0
Teleop101.8
End21.6
blue by 15.8
3242
#12
155.72.6
146.1148.7
Auto17.9
Teleop117.7
End19.5
Third
4562
#53
92.80.5
96.896.4
Auto17.1
Teleop72.7
End4.3
blue by 61.1
153.92.1
136.0138.1
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed