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Red187
2152133.6
7107109.8
2383166.6
Blue296
7026135.9
1477170.1
6686113.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314309200250350400187296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#20
166.60.9
162.5163.4
Auto20.7
Teleop134.3
End10.0
blue by 3.5
1477
#34
170.10.3
176.9177.2
Auto19.7
Teleop125.9
End23.8
Second
2152
#31
133.61.9
130.7132.6
Auto21.8
Teleop103.0
End8.9
blue by 2.3
7026
#33
135.90.0
132.3132.2
Auto17.0
Teleop105.2
End15.9
Third
7107
#40
109.84.1
100.9105.0
Auto17.5
Teleop88.1
End-0.7
blue by 4.0
6686
#30
113.85.4
103.3108.7
Auto16.5
Teleop84.4
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed