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Red215
7152103.9
2797136.9
801139.3
Blue391
7216123.0
744174.5
7193123.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278344100200400500600215391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#13
139.31.4
130.6132.0
Auto17.7
Teleop104.3
End20.6
blue by 35.2
744
#4
174.50.6
166.5167.1
Auto22.7
Teleop132.2
End19.9
Second
2797
#37
136.91.0
134.5135.6
Auto15.6
Teleop100.4
End21.8
red by 13.2
123.72.4
113.5116.0
Auto17.7
Teleop86.0
End18.5
Third
7152
#52
103.92.3
99.3101.6
Auto11.5
Teleop82.2
End12.7
blue by 19.2
7216
#26
123.06.2
110.9117.1
Auto16.5
Teleop98.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed