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Red230
560595.1
7231120.0
7026135.9
Blue497
5472190.7
4533183.0
5773109.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1964390100300400500600700230497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7026
#33
135.90.1
132.2132.4
Auto17.0
Teleop105.2
End15.9
blue by 54.7
190.71.9
183.5185.4
Auto23.3
Teleop148.5
End18.9
Second
7231
#25
120.02.3
106.1108.4
Auto17.0
Teleop88.7
End17.1
blue by 63.1
183.02.2
174.0176.1
Auto27.0
Teleop131.8
End23.4
Third
5605
#54
95.10.7
91.592.2
Auto14.4
Teleop72.4
End8.6
blue by 14.0
5773
#39
109.12.6
101.9104.5
Auto16.2
Teleop84.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed