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Qual 492018 South Florida Regional
Red183
3932144.5
6685115.6
4118110.4
Blue465
801139.3
1744153.9
3410134.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363450100200300400500600183465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#21
144.50.5
140.1→140.5
Auto17.5
Teleop110.6
End17.4
blue by 9.4
1744
#6
153.92.0
138.1→140.0
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
Second
6685
#35
115.65.3
107.3→112.6
Auto17.0
Teleop85.2
End11.5
blue by 23.7
801
#13
139.30.3
132.0→132.3
Auto17.7
Teleop104.3
End20.6
Third
4118
#46
110.41.1
114.1→113.1
Auto15.3
Teleop86.6
End12.2
blue by 23.8
3410
#2
134.21.8
118.9→120.8
Auto18.4
Teleop102.1
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned