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Red381
5410130.7
5773109.1
1902159.6
Blue70
6001129.1
6685115.6
7216123.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318304010020040050060038170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#18
159.60.1
158.7158.9
Auto28.9
Teleop115.5
End13.9
red by 30.6
6001
#45
129.10.6
130.4131.0
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End16.9
Second
5410
#24
130.71.2
128.1129.4
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End19.1
red by 7.7
7216
#26
123.00.4
124.8125.2
Auto16.5
Teleop98.8
End7.0
Third
5773
#39
109.10.7
107.3108.0
Auto16.2
Teleop84.2
End6.9
blue by 6.4
6685
#35
115.60.3
117.3117.6
Auto17.0
Teleop85.2
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed