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Red304
180168.5
560595.1
1744153.9
Blue316
2797136.9
2152133.6
5872119.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354255100200300400500600304316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#17
168.50.8
165.9166.7
Auto20.0
Teleop134.2
End15.5
red by 31.6
2797
#37
136.90.2
136.3136.5
Auto15.6
Teleop100.4
End21.8
Second
153.92.2
148.7150.9
Auto18.3
Teleop116.3
End20.6
red by 20.2
2152
#31
133.60.2
132.1132.3
Auto21.8
Teleop103.0
End8.9
Third
5605
#54
95.10.1
95.295.1
Auto14.4
Teleop72.4
End8.6
blue by 24.8
5872
#27
119.91.0
118.9119.9
Auto15.0
Teleop90.3
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed