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Qual 112018 FSU Roboday
Red431
5501179.4
5256121.2
9999119.2
Blue176
4776174.9
5448104.1
2054169.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29534801,0002,0003,0004,0005,000431176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#5
179.41.9
180.6→178.7
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
red by 4.5
4776
#6
174.90.1
178.2→178.3
Auto20.3
Teleop132.3
End23.4
Second
5256
#17
121.20.0
123.3→123.3
Auto15.5
Teleop87.5
End14.4
blue by 48.3
2054
#13
169.54.0
189.0→185.0
Auto21.3
Teleop122.5
End21.1
Third
9999
#3
119.23.3
102.4→105.7
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
red by 15.1
5448
#12
104.12.0
112.1→110.1
Auto15.0
Teleop73.8
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed51%Face the Boss oddsMissed