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Red159
7056150.3
7211149.3
5162114.2
Blue384
5926108.6
5084141.4
4956155.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323320200250300350400159384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.31.3
144.6145.9
Auto18.8
Teleop104.4
End26.8
blue by 5.5
4956
#11
155.80.3
152.4152.7
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End11.0
Second
7211
#15
149.31.3
152.2150.9
Auto15.3
Teleop113.6
End20.4
red by 7.8
141.41.8
143.7141.9
Auto16.4
Teleop105.4
End18.5
Third
5162
#16
114.20.7
115.5116.2
Auto17.2
Teleop85.3
End11.3
red by 5.6
5926
#14
108.60.6
99.8100.4
Auto15.3
Teleop81.0
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed