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Red166
494170.8
1918203.4
5256121.2
Blue307
5260126.5
3536188.0
4855184.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3513240100200400500600700166307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.40.8
208.2207.5
Auto21.0
Teleop154.7
End26.5
red by 15.4
188.00.4
183.4183.8
Auto23.0
Teleop137.5
End26.8
Second
494
#8
170.81.8
178.1176.3
Auto17.5
Teleop138.8
End16.9
blue by 13.5
184.30.4
187.0186.6
Auto21.6
Teleop137.4
End22.5
Third
5256
#17
121.21.0
123.3124.2
Auto15.5
Teleop87.5
End14.4
blue by 5.3
5260
#10
126.53.8
137.4133.6
Auto14.1
Teleop96.5
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed